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NRI Newsletter - Market News

Last Updated on: 02/09/2025

NRI Newsletter - Market News

TODAY Tuesday,2nd  September , 2025

 

USD/INR:

The Indian rupee is expected to open marginally higher on Tuesday, building on the modest relief from the previous session, though sentiment remains fragile amid concerns over the fallout from higher U.S. tariffs.

The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated the rupee  will open in the 88.10 to 88.14 range versus the U.S. dollar, compared with 88.1950 on Monday.

The rupee dropped to a lifetime low of 88.33 on Monday before staging a slight recovery. Market chatter pointed to likely Reserve Bank of India dollar sales helping the recovery, though bankers said it was hard to pin down.

 

MAJOR WORLD CURRENCIES:

USD:

 

Investors are awaiting a raft of U.S. data this week, with August nonfarm payrolls due on Friday the most critical release. The report will help markets gauge whether current bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut at this month’s policy meeting are well-founded.

GBP/USD:

The Pound Sterling (GBP) declines to near 1.3480 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday. The GBP/USD pair drops as the US Dollar gains ahead of the United States (US) opening after an extended weekend, due to Labor Day holiday on Monday, with investors awaiting the ISM and S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for August due later in the North American session.

During the press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, rises to near 98.00.

Economists expect the US ISM Manufacturing PMI to have contracted again, but at a moderate pace. The Manufacturing PMI is seen at 49.0, higher from the prior reading of 48.0. A figure below the 50.0 threshold is considered a contraction in the business activity

 

EUR/USD:

The Eurostat will publish the preliminary Eurozone inflation data for August later this Tuesday at 0900 GMT.

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is expected to rise 2.0% year-over-year (YoY) in August, while the core inflation is seen easing to 2.2% in the same period, compared to the previous reading of 2.3%.

Last week, the preliminary German Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.2% in August, against 2% increase in July and above market forecasts of 2.1%, though remaining close to the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2% target.

 

Gold:

Gold (XAU/USD) kicks off the week on a stronger note, extending its advance for a fifth consecutive day to reach its highest level in more than four months, last seen on April 22. A broadly weaker US Dollar (USD) and firm expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in September continue to bolster bullion’s momentum.

At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,470 in the European session, easing from an intraday high of $3,489 marked during Asian hours and coming just shy of the all-time high at $3,500. Mild technical selling and steady US Treasury yields are weighing on sentiment, while trading conditions remain thin with United States (US) markets closed for Labor Day.

 

USD/INR as on 1st September , 2025

Currency

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

USD/INR

88.175

88.3525

87.95

88

Forward premium (%) as on 29th    August , 2025

Periods

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

12 Month

Premium

1.41/1.69

1.76/1.85

1.90/2.02

2.20/2.22

 

 

USD/INR Cash/Tom/Spot Levels: (in Paisa)

(Updated as on 2nd September , 2025 @ 09.00am)

 

 Cash/Tom:   0.10/1.25          Cash/Spot:0.20/2.50

 Tom/Spot:   0.10/1.25           Spot/Next: 0.40/3.50

 

Cash Date:    02.09.2025

Tom Date:      03.09.2025

Spot Date:     04.09.2025

Outlook for the day 2nd  September: Rupee expected to trade in range of 88.05 to 88.15

MAJOR WORLD CURRENCIES: as on (1st September, 2025)

CURRENCY

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

GBP

1.3503

1.3549

1.3492

1.3543

EUR

1.1684

1.1736

1.1683

1.1709

AUD

0.653

0.656

0.653

0.6551

JPY

147.06

147.38

146.76

147.17

CHF

0.7985

0.8017

0.7982

0.8007

XAU

 

3489.51

3436.19

3475.87

 

Foreign Currencies

Updated: 17:30 hrs. (12:00 GMT) on 1st September 2025

USD/INR: 88.20 [FXIR]

Against

USD

INR

1 GBP    =

1.3524

119.2817

1 EUR   =

1.1720

103.3704

100 JPY =

147.14

59.9429

1 CHF   =

0.7994

110.3327

1 AUD    =

0.6557

57.8327

 

Precious Metals

Updated: 17:30 hrs. (12:00 GMT) as on 1st September 2025

Gold ($/oz)

3474.90

Silver ($/oz)

40.5750

 

Stock Indices

 

Index Close

29th    Aug

1st Sept

BSE Sensex

79809.65

80364.69

NSE Nifty

24426.85

24625.05

Dow Jones

45544.88

 

NASDAQ

21455.55

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Major Economic Data Releases for the Day 02.09.2025

Date

Time (IST)

Region

Description

02.09.2025

2.30 pm

EUR


Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y

 

 

 

EUR

CPI Flash Estimate y/y

 

7.30 pm

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI

 

 

USD

ISM Manufacturing Prices

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The views contained herein are those of individuals and not necessarily those of the Bank.  This is for information purpose only and no recommendations are intended.  While due care has been taken in preparation of this communication, IOB cannot be held responsible for any consequences of any decisions based on this information. Comments/Suggestions may be freely emailed to feddeal@iobnet.co.in