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NRI Newsletter - Market News

Last Updated on: 09/08/2024

NRI Newsletter - Market News

TODAY: Friday, 09th August, 2024

USD/INR:

 

MAJOR WORLD CURRENCIES:

USD:

Dollar is stable, and equity markets still tentative and all eyes continue to be on USDJPY. Even though Nikkei recovered almost all the Monday losses by yesterday, US markets failed to keep the momentum going and ended in the Red in overnight trading. While the risk aversion wave is averted for now, global recession concerns continue to lurk and markets are jittery about a sudden dip in global economic outlook.

 

Dollar Index is at 103.05, with EUR at 1.0925, GBP at 1.2685 and JPY at 146.20. USDJPY traded above 147 yesterday but gave up gains overnight. US 10y has recovered to 3.92% from the low of 3.75% as safe haven buying of US treasuries abated. US markets closed in the Red. DOW was down 0.6% while NASDAQ ended down 1%+. Indian equities traded higher by 1%+ yesterday but are set for muted open. In the commodity complex, Brent is now higher, at 78.6 per barrel, up from the low of 75.5 couple of days ago. Gold prices have fallen due to the surge in risk aversion and are yet to see meaningful retraction.

 

 

GBP/USD:

Friday will close out the trading week with a thin economic calendar on both sides of the Atlantic, and markets will be gearing up for fresh updates on inflation in both the UK and the US. The Pound Sterling took a beating after a recent quarter-point rate cut from the Bank of England (BoE), and markets are on the lookout for signs of further UK rate cuts and an initial rate trim from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) expected in September.

US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended August 2 printed at 233K, less than the forecast 240K and easing back from the previous week’s 250K. Cooling initial unemployment figures are helping investors keep a lid on recent downturn fears after last week’s US labor data dump sparked a firm risk-off bid.

 

EUR/USD:

EUR/USD went nowhere fast on Thursday, testing the 1.0900 handle before wrapping up the day’s action close to where it started. Fiber flubbed a swing for the 1.1000 handle earlier this week, and momentum has drained out of the pair as investors continue to cool off after a surge of panic after last Friday’s misfire in US labor data.

Friday is set to wrap up the trading week with little of note on the economic data docket and investors pivoting once more to keeping an eye out for signs the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be pushed into a rate cutting cycle in the next six weeks.

 

Gold

Gold price climbed during the North American session on Thursday after solid data from the United States (US) underpinned the Greenback. Despite that, the precious metal brushed aside the strength of the US Dollar and the rise in US yields. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $2,419, up over 1.40%.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released a solid jobs report, as the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits dipped below estimates and last week's data, a tailwind for the Greenback.

 

 

USD/INR as on 08th August, 2024

Currency

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

USD/INR

83.9220

83.9900

83.9150

83.9900

 

 

Forward premium (%) as on  08th August, 2024

Periods

1 Month

3 Month

6 Month

12 Month

Premium

1.09/1.13

1.91/1.05

1.28/1.32

2.05/2.06

       

 

USD/INR Cash/Tom/Spot Levels: (in Paisa)

(Updated as on 09th August, 2024, @ 09.00am)

 

 Cash/Tom: 0.15/2.00                   Cash/Spot:0.20/2.75

 Tom/Spot:  0.05/0.75                    Spot/Next: 0.05/0.50

 

Cash Date:  09.08.2024

Tom Date:   12.08.2024

Spot Date:   13.08.2024

Outlook for the day 09th  August, 2024

Rupee expected to trade in range of 83.90-84.10.

MAJOR WORLD CURRENCIES: as on (08th August, 2024)

 

CURRENCY

OPEN

HIGH

LOW

CLOSE

GBP

1.2690

1.2752

1.2662

1.2747

EUR

1.0921

1.0944

1.0881

1.0918

AUD

0.6516

0.6593

0.6505

0.6592

JPY

146.65

147.53

145.42

147.28

CHF

0.8616

0.8674

0.8557

0.8664

XAU

2381.98

2427.64

2379.99

2426.35

 

Foreign Currencies

Updated: 17:30 hrs. (12:00 GMT) on 08th August, 2024

USD/INR: 83.9675 [FXIR]

Against

USD

INR

1 EUR    =

1.0931

91.7849

1 GBP   =

1.2696

106.6051

100 JPY =

147.07

57.0936

1 AUD   =

0.6550

54.9987

1 CHF    =

0.8575

97.9213

 

Precious Metals

Updated: 17:30 hrs. (12:00 GMT) as on 08th August, 2024

Gold ($/oz)

2392.85

Silver ($/oz)

2400.45

 

Stock Indices

 

Index Close

07th August, 2024

08th August, 2024

BSE Sensex

79468.01

78886.22

NSE Nifty

24297.50

24117

Dow Jones

38763.45

39446.49

NASDAQ

16195.81

16660.02

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Major Economic Data Releases for the Day

 

Date

Region

Time (IST)

Description

 

09/08/24

CAD

06.00 PM

Employment Change

y/y

 

 

09/08/24

CAD

06.00 PM

Unemployment Rate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

JPY

 

BOJ Policy Rate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The views contained herein are those of individuals and not necessarily those of the Bank.  This is for information purpose only and no recommendations are intended.  While due care has been taken in preparation of this communication, IOB cannot be held responsible for any consequences of any decisions based on this information. Comments/Suggestions may be freely emailed to feddeal@iobnet.co.in